Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.968706 1.091827 1.226263 1.384221 1.565074 1.766069 2.006913
2025-01-19 0.743199 0.900467 1.086458 1.323716 1.619849 1.979238 2.451413
2025-01-26 0.651045 0.827868 1.048526 1.346255 1.740732 2.249983 2.964474
2025-02-02 0.587188 0.776537 1.023410 1.372284 1.858100 2.518749 3.499039
2025-02-09 0.532900 0.728566 0.993371 1.382755 1.948857 2.754499 4.010577
2025-02-16 0.487745 0.686616 0.964771 1.388500 2.028795 2.978253 4.526927
2025-02-23 0.455876 0.659223 0.952402 1.413915 2.136943 3.251383 5.148839
2025-03-02 0.412948 0.611044 0.904200 1.378955 2.146464 3.370257 5.534363
2025-03-09 0.391094 0.592100 0.897402 1.406102 2.254972 3.655907 6.231217
2025-03-16 0.362504 0.560002 0.866955 1.391514 2.292012 3.824892 6.743540
2025-03-23 0.343086 0.540553 0.854453 1.404411 2.375362 4.079907 7.441761
2025-03-30 0.319657 0.512601 0.825574 1.386361 2.401906 4.235500 7.970605
2025-04-06 0.299442 0.488817 0.802351 1.377121 2.445367 4.430559 8.611849
2025-04-13 0.272407 0.451562 0.753463 1.317978 2.391162 4.436529 8.873222
2025-04-20 0.261513 0.441094 0.749839 1.340317 2.492271 4.752422 9.824785
2025-04-27 0.252066 0.432355 0.748392 1.366226 2.602424 5.098061 10.890837
2025-05-04 0.241097 0.420027 0.739390 1.376645 2.682297 5.389982 11.879053
2025-05-11 0.230361 0.407302 0.728588 1.382361 2.752711 5.669278 12.879282
2025-05-18 0.222999 0.400245 0.727756 1.407652 2.866413 6.055249 14.196035
2025-05-25 0.208716 0.379194 0.698697 1.372864 2.847222 6.141737 14.778981
2025-06-01 0.202842 0.373769 0.699453 1.399877 2.966384 6.558643 16.278185
2025-06-08 0.192666 0.359320 0.681368 1.385361 2.990475 6.754479 17.221396
2025-06-15 0.186163 0.351642 0.676233 1.398195 3.078470 7.114274 18.673123